{"id":697639,"date":"2026-11-03T07:00:11","date_gmt":"2026-11-03T07:00:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/?p=697639"},"modified":"2026-11-03T07:00:11","modified_gmt":"2026-11-03T07:00:11","slug":"predictions-are-hard-especially-about-the-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/?p=697639","title":{"rendered":"Predictions Are Hard, Especially About the Future"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>When it comes down to it, polling depends heavily on the pollster\u2019s \u201cassumptions,\u201d the choices he or she makes about the variables that will be included and the weightings to give those variables.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/amgreatness.com\/2026\/11\/03\/predictions-are-hard-especially-about-the-future\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">Source<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>When it comes down to it, polling depends heavily on the pollster\u2019s \u201cassumptions,\u201d the choices he or she makes about the variables that will be included and the weightings to give those variables. Source<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","footnotes":""},"categories":[17,22,13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-697639","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-border-security","category-immigration","category-immigration-reform","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/697639","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=697639"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/697639\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=697639"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=697639"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=697639"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}