{"id":687394,"date":"2026-10-16T11:41:32","date_gmt":"2026-10-16T11:41:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/?p=687394"},"modified":"2026-10-16T11:41:32","modified_gmt":"2026-10-16T11:41:32","slug":"cnn-data-guru-says-republicans-could-take-midterms-if-polls-are-slightly-off","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/?p=687394","title":{"rendered":"CNN data guru says Republicans could take midterms if polls are slightly off"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"<\/div>\n

Despite weeks of relentless doom-and-gloom polling suggesting a Republican rout in the midterms, a Thursday broadcast from CNN hinted that the election might be far more competitive than previously assumed.<\/p>\n

Polling in today\u2019s political climate is more about trying to drive public opinion than it is about reflecting public opinion \u2014 recall when The New York Times reported that Hillary Clinton had a 91 percent chance of winning the 2016 election?<\/p>\n

On that note, CNN analyst Harry Enten reported that a modest polling error of 2 to 4 points in the 2026 midterms would result in the GOP retaining a 53\u201347 Senate majority and at least 218 House seats to hold the House.<\/p>\n

\n

\"\ud83d\udea8\" WOW! CNN has officially confirmed that if the polls underestimate Republicans by only 2-4 points, the GOP holds the Senate 53-47 and the HOUSE REMAINS RED<\/p>\n

Michigan? FLIPPED. Texas? RED. Maine? STAYS RED. Ohio? RED. Iowa? RED. Alaska? RED.<\/p>\n

For the House, a 3 point miss could mean 218+ RED SEATS<\/p>\n

They have to say this because it\u2019s an actual possibility \"\ud83d\udd25\"<\/p>\n

We aren\u2019t even looking for a 5, 6, 7, 8 point polling miss. A BASIC MARGIN OF ERROR miss.<\/p>\n

They are admitting it because they know what\u2019s happened in elections past<\/p>\n

GET OUT AND VOTE, MAKE THIS A REALITY \"\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8\"<\/p>\n

\u2014 Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 15, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

A quick look at previous elections shows a consistent pattern of the Republican Party\u2019s chances being underestimated within the margin Enten referenced, as seen here:<\/p>\n

\n

CNN\u2019s data analyst says if the polls underestimate Republicans by 2-4 points, they will WIN the Senate AND House.<\/p>\n

The GOP was underestimated:
\n-2016 by 3.1 points
\n-2020 by 4.6 points
\n-2024 by 2.7 points<\/p>\n

Get out and Vote and prove them wrong again. https:\/\/t.co\/VQkkzUK7ZM<\/p>\n

\u2014 Benny Johnson (@bennyjohnson) October 15, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

The answer, of course, is not to allow polling to impact your motivation to vote \u2014 here\u2019s a sampling of responses to the story, as seen on X:<\/p>\n

\n

The polls are fake, the lying Communist aren\u2019t winning, get out and vote for America!<\/p>\n

\u2014 God & Country (@GodandCountryy) October 15, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\n

Based on the much lower standard deviation among polls for any particular Senate race, \u201cherding\u201d has been extraordinary. I\u2019d say the bias will be closer to 4 on average.<\/p>\n

\u2014 Peter (@noscaleshere) October 15, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\n

they are the point in the season where they have to stop lying so they don\u2019t look bad when the results come out. the election is the poll.<\/p>\n

\u2014 Jeremy Hain (@rockchainmtg) October 15, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\n

A 2 to 4 point miss is not a fantasy. Pollsters missed Trump voters in 2016, 2020 and 2024. Don\u2019t wait on a polling miss, make one. Vote red in every race.<\/p>\n

\u2014 ThePatriot (@ThePatriotTea) October 15, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\n

Republican stopped answering polls since Obama targeted the Tea Party people back in 2012<\/p>\n

\u2014 Pamela La (@PamelaLaduke) October 15, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\n

They are only admitting this because they know it\u2019s going to be at a minimum 3+ over estimation for Democrats. Possibly more. They are tired of being humiliated every single election and Trump has made steps to protect the vote.<\/p>\n

\u2014 Daily Trite\"\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8\" (@realDailyTrite) October 15, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Despite weeks of relentless doom-and-gloom polling suggesting a Republican rout in the midterms, a Thursday broadcast from CNN hinted that the election might be far more competitive than previously assumed. Polling in today\u2019s political climate is more about trying to drive public opinion than it is about reflecting public opinion \u2014 recall when The New… Continue reading CNN data guru says Republicans could take midterms if polls are slightly off<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","footnotes":""},"categories":[17,22,13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-687394","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-border-security","category-immigration","category-immigration-reform","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/687394","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=687394"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/687394\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=687394"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=687394"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=687394"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}