{"id":666763,"date":"2026-09-11T14:10:00","date_gmt":"2026-09-11T14:10:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/?p=666763"},"modified":"2026-09-11T14:10:00","modified_gmt":"2026-09-11T14:10:00","slug":"umich-sentiment-expectations-plunge-near-record-lows-as-republicans-lose-faith-inflation-fears-rebound-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/?p=666763","title":{"rendered":"UMich Sentiment &#8216;Expectations&#8217; Plunge Near Record Lows As Republicans Lose Faith, Inflation Fears Rebound"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden\">UMich Sentiment &#8216;Expectations&#8217; Plunge Near Record Lows As Republicans Lose Faith, Inflation Fears Rebound<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item\">\n<p>After July&#8217;s rebound to pre-war levels, a re-escalation in the MidEast (and soaring fuel costs) sent confidence back towards YTD lows. Preliminary September data was expected to show UMich headline sentiment sliding further.<\/p>\n<p>&#8216;Slide&#8217; is not exactly how we would describe preliminary September confidence data&#8217;s collapse (headline from 51.7 to 47.8 vs 51.0 exp).\u00a0The <strong>current conditions gauge fell to 50.9<\/strong> from 51.9 in the previous month, while the <strong>expectations index plunged to 45.8 from 51.5 &#8211; just off record lows<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><a data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2026-09-11_07-03-25.jpg?itok=-Xnssokf\" data-link-option=\"0\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2026-09-11_07-03-25.jpg?itok=-Xnssokf\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"fe703abb-daaa-4046-b81b-ad16b5475462\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" height=\"301\" width=\"500\" class=\"inline-images image-style-inline-images\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.zerohedge.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/2026-09-11_07-03-25.jpg?itok=-Xnssokf\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Democrats and Republicans alike posted sizable declines, while independents were little changed from August.<\/p>\n<p><a data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2026-09-11_07-05-23.jpg?itok=9ufnBUxJ\" data-link-option=\"0\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2026-09-11_07-05-23.jpg?itok=9ufnBUxJ\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"8fc3339a-59db-4eba-8a35-943500a2321f\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" height=\"304\" width=\"500\" class=\"inline-images image-style-inline-images\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.zerohedge.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/2026-09-11_07-05-23.jpg?itok=9ufnBUxJ\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>\u201cOpinions of the government\u2019s economic policy worsened about 10% this month and remain substantially below February 2026, just prior to the Iran conflict,\u2019\u2019<\/strong><\/em> Joanne Hsu, director of the survey, said in a statement.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>\u201cNotably, even Republicans, who generally supported economic policy under the current administration, have exhibited a marked decline in favorability.\u2019\u2019<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Year-ahead inflation expectations jumped from 4.0% last month to 4.6% this month, the highest reading since June.<\/p>\n<p><a data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2026-09-11_07-07-23.jpg?itok=m-Q3F1ea\" data-link-option=\"0\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2026-09-11_07-07-23.jpg?itok=m-Q3F1ea\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"4e9d014b-2c2f-499b-9e42-ffcb7895c8df\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" height=\"292\" width=\"500\" class=\"inline-images image-style-inline-images\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.zerohedge.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/2026-09-11_07-07-23.jpg?itok=m-Q3F1ea\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>BUT&#8230; umm&#8230;\u00a0How is this possible: <strong>Democrat inflation expectations dropped, Republican and Independent inflation expectations unchanged&#8230; yet overall inflation expectations jumped the most since May 2026!?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2026-09-11_07-09-32.jpg?itok=Hph38b5h\" data-link-option=\"0\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2026-09-11_07-09-32.jpg?itok=Hph38b5h\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"edb62e97-f500-4011-9e8f-f6764bd84fd0\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" height=\"304\" width=\"500\" class=\"inline-images image-style-inline-images\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.zerohedge.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/2026-09-11_07-09-32.jpg?itok=Hph38b5h\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>With a resurgence in fuel prices and trade tensions, consumers anticipate greater pressures on their pocketbooks to come. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Five-year expected business conditions remained stable at readings well below their historical average, suggesting that consumers believe that emerging risks this month may not have further worsened the long-run outlook.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><a data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2026-09-11_07-04-29.jpg?itok=rT_kjxhv\" data-link-option=\"0\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2026-09-11_07-04-29.jpg?itok=rT_kjxhv\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"053301a6-4205-4bbf-af9f-dd3809ba23fa\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" height=\"313\" width=\"500\" class=\"inline-images image-style-inline-images\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.zerohedge.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/2026-09-11_07-04-29.jpg?itok=rT_kjxhv\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Finally, as we noted earlier, real wage growth has now been negative for five straight months&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2026-09-11_05-47-04_0.jpg?itok=FX0pEA3k\" data-link-option=\"0\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/2026-09-11_05-47-04_0.jpg?itok=FX0pEA3k\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"4b5d7d45-6a03-4d4c-bd46-60f6e0ec526d\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" height=\"297\" width=\"500\" class=\"inline-images image-style-inline-images\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.zerohedge.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/2026-09-11_05-47-04_0.jpg?itok=FX0pEA3k\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Not exactly confidence inspiring.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>      <span class=\"field field--name-uid field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden\"><a title=\"View user profile.\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/users\/tyler-durden\" lang=\"\" class=\"username\" xml:lang=\"\">Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span class=\"field field--name-created field--type-created field--label-hidden\">Fri, 09\/11\/2026 &#8211; 10:10<\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.zerohedge.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/2026-09-11_07-03-25.jpg?itok=-Xnssokf\" title=\"UMich Sentiment &apos;Expectations&apos; Plunge Near Record Lows As Republicans Lose Faith, Inflation Fears Rebound\" \/><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>UMich Sentiment &#8216;Expectations&#8217; Plunge Near Record Lows As Republicans Lose Faith, Inflation Fears Rebound After July&#8217;s rebound to pre-war levels, a re-escalation in the MidEast (and soaring fuel costs) sent confidence back towards YTD lows. Preliminary September data was expected to show UMich headline sentiment sliding further. &#8216;Slide&#8217; is not exactly how we would describe&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/?p=666763\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">UMich Sentiment &#8216;Expectations&#8217; Plunge Near Record Lows As Republicans Lose Faith, Inflation Fears Rebound<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":666751,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","footnotes":""},"categories":[20,23],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-666763","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economic-empowerment","category-national-security","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/666763","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=666763"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/666763\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/666751"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=666763"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=666763"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=666763"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}