{"id":666410,"date":"2026-09-10T22:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-09-10T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/?p=666410"},"modified":"2026-09-10T22:00:00","modified_gmt":"2026-09-10T22:00:00","slug":"right-wing-bolsonaro-overtakes-socialist-lula-on-polymarket-as-brazil-election-nears","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/?p=666410","title":{"rendered":"Right-Wing Bolsonaro Overtakes Socialist Lula On Polymarket As Brazil Election Nears"},"content":{"rendered":"

Right-Wing Bolsonaro Overtakes Socialist Lula On Polymarket As Brazil Election Nears<\/span><\/p>\n

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Polymarket’s “Brazil Presidential Election” market<\/strong>, with nearly $150 million in trading volume, now favors right-wing Senator Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro over leftist President Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva<\/strong> ahead of October’s election. The shift follows polling data released earlier this week showing Bolsonaro pulling ahead in a hypothetical runoff, although the candidates remain statistically tied within the margin of error.<\/p>\n

Bolsonaro took the lead on Polymarket<\/a> around 8:20 a.m. ET, and by early Thursday afternoon, he stood at around 52.8% versus Lula’s 44%.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

On Tuesday, the BTG Pactual\/Nexus survey showed that Bolsonaro had edged ahead of Lula for the first time. This comes as a deepening Supreme Court scandal strengthens the conservative challenger’s campaign.<\/strong><\/p>\n

As the gap between Bolsonaro and Lula narrowed in recent weeks and the race became a toss-up, we pointed out an “explosive surge” in call open interest in the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ).<\/strong><\/p>\n

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And someone appears to be making a huge bet on just that: explosive surge in EWZ call OI https:\/\/t.co\/nqFaGgms4R<\/a> pic.twitter.com\/uen9bXmqBw<\/a><\/p>\n

\u2014 zerohedge (@zerohedge) September 8, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

On Thursday, Citi chief Latin America economist Ernesto Revilla told clients that Latin America is “<\/strong>poised for take-off<\/strong><\/a>,” as a right-wing political shift across the continent, a weaker dollar, firm commodity prices, and global supply-chain realignment were producing tailwinds for the region.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Also this week, Secretary of State Marco Rubio kicked off his South America tour<\/a> on Tuesday, first meeting with Trump-backed Colombian President Abelardo de la Espriella to strengthen security and economic ties as several countries in the region shift toward right-wing governments.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

A Bolsonaro victory would cement South America’s broader shift<\/strong> from unhinged left-wing regimes toward the common-sense right.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span>
\nThu, 09\/10\/2026 – 18:00<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Right-Wing Bolsonaro Overtakes Socialist Lula On Polymarket As Brazil Election Nears Polymarket’s “Brazil Presidential Election” market, with nearly $150 million in trading volume, now favors right-wing Senator Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro over leftist President Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva ahead of October’s election. The shift follows polling data released earlier this week showing Bolsonaro pulling ahead in… Continue reading Right-Wing Bolsonaro Overtakes Socialist Lula On Polymarket As Brazil Election Nears<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":666411,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","footnotes":""},"categories":[20,23],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-666410","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economic-empowerment","category-national-security","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/666410","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=666410"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/666410\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/666411"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=666410"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=666410"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=666410"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}