{"id":662030,"date":"2026-09-02T22:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-09-02T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/?p=662030"},"modified":"2026-09-02T22:00:00","modified_gmt":"2026-09-02T22:00:00","slug":"brazils-socialist-president-sees-lead-evaporating-new-poll-shows","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/?p=662030","title":{"rendered":"Brazil’s Socialist President Sees Lead Evaporating, New Poll Shows"},"content":{"rendered":"

Brazil’s Socialist President Sees Lead Evaporating, New Poll Shows <\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Brazilian socialist President Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva’s lead over right-wing Sen. Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro continues to narrow, according to new polling data released early Wednesday. The latest polling extends the trend we highlighted last week, showing that the narrowing margin between the two candidates has transformed October\u2019s presidential election a coin toss.<\/p>\n

<\/a><\/p>\n

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Lula (Left);\u00a0Bolsonaro (Right)<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

<\/p>\n

According to a Quaest poll commissioned by TV Globo, Lula leads Bolsonaro 42% to 41% in a potential runoff. The one-point gap is within the survey\u2019s two-point margin of error and marks a decline from Lula\u2019s three-point advantage in the previous poll released in mid-August.<\/p>\n

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Quaest, 2\u00ba turno: Lula, 42%; Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro, 41% https:\/\/t.co\/CVLptTwmiq<\/a> #g1<\/a> pic.twitter.com\/oSBLd27Big<\/a><\/p>\n

\u2014 g1 (@g1) September 2, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

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Pesquisa Quaest divulgada hoje vs 2022 mesma janela temporal<\/p>\n

Lula vs Bolsonaro 1\u00ba e 2\u00ba turno<\/p>\n

No 2\u00ba turno diferen\u00e7a que era de 12 pontos em 2022 \u00e9 de apenas 1 ponto em 2026 pic.twitter.com\/MfyMW2Ifos<\/a><\/p>\n

\u2014 Pedro Albuquerque F (@albuquerque_af) September 2, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

A separate BTG Pactual\/Nexus poll published at the start of the week also placed Lula ahead by only one point.<\/strong> An AtlasIntel survey conducted for Bloomberg showed the president leading by 4.5 points, although that advantage narrowed slightly from July.<\/p>\n

The shrinking gap comes as federal authorities investigate allegations of corruption and influence peddling involving Lula\u2019s son, F\u00e1bio Lu\u00eds Lula da Silva, known as Lulinha. The probe focuses on cannabis programs linked to Brazil\u2019s Health Ministry.<\/p>\n

Lulinha has denied wrongdoing. Lula has not been implicated and has said he will not shield his son from investigators, although he believes Lulinha is innocent.<\/p>\n

AtlasIntel\u2019s findings show that the corruption probe has inflicted political damage on the socialist president, threatening to turn the election into a coin toss.<\/p>\n

Last Friday, Alexandre de \u00c1zara, a managing director and chief economist for Brazil at UBS, told clients<\/a> that \u201cthe gap is closing<\/strong>\u201d in Brazil\u2019s presidential race as Bolsonaro pulls within striking distance of President Lula<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Polymarket odds<\/a> show that Bolsonaro is closing in on Lula.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

A Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro win in October would not start a right turn in South America. It would effectively close it.<\/strong><\/p>\n

By mid-2026, South America had already flipped<\/strong>. Argentina (Milei), Chile (Kast), Colombia (de la Espriella), Peru (Keiko Fujimori), Ecuador (Noboa), Bolivia (Paz), and Paraguay (Pe\u00f1a) sit on the right.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The remaining large left-wing governments are Brazil and Uruguay. Brazil accounts for about half of South America\u2019s GDP and population. If Brazil goes right<\/strong>, the region would be entirely aligned with the Trump administration and would be on track to rid itself of nation-killing socialism and other failed progressive experiments.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span>
\nWed, 09\/02\/2026 – 18:00<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Brazil’s Socialist President Sees Lead Evaporating, New Poll Shows Brazilian socialist President Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva’s lead over right-wing Sen. Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro continues to narrow, according to new polling data released early Wednesday. The latest polling extends the trend we highlighted last week, showing that the narrowing margin between the two candidates has transformed… Continue reading Brazil’s Socialist President Sees Lead Evaporating, New Poll Shows<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":662031,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","footnotes":""},"categories":[18,19,10,21,12,11,9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-662030","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cancel-culture","category-censorship","category-civil-liberties","category-election-integrity","category-equal-justice","category-free-speech","category-religious-freedom","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/662030","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=662030"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/662030\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/662031"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=662030"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=662030"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=662030"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}