{"id":621359,"date":"2026-06-19T03:25:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-19T03:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/?p=621359"},"modified":"2026-06-19T03:25:00","modified_gmt":"2026-06-19T03:25:00","slug":"is-trump-preparing-to-escalate-to-de-escalate-with-russia-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/?p=621359","title":{"rendered":"Is Trump Preparing To &#8220;Escalate To De-Escalate&#8221; With Russia?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden\">Is Trump Preparing To &#8220;Escalate To De-Escalate&#8221; With Russia?<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/whys-trump-preparing-to-escalate\"><em>Authored by Andrew Korybko,<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>He feels personally insulted by Putin rejecting his proposal to freeze the conflict in exchange for a resource-centric strategic partnership and also, whether one agrees with him or not, senses weakness after the US built a \u201ccordon sanitaire\u201d around Russia over the past year.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a data-image-external-href=\"\" data-image-href=\"\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/httpssubstack-post-media.s3.amaz%20%2824%29_13.jpg?itok=lUkmx1WL\" data-link-option=\"0\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/s3\/files\/inline-images\/httpssubstack-post-media.s3.amaz%20%2824%29_13.jpg?itok=lUkmx1WL\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" data-entity-type=\"file\" data-entity-uuid=\"88b0dbd6-39b4-45f4-9ade-5e6a50815005\" data-responsive-image-style=\"inline_images\" height=\"375\" width=\"500\" class=\"inline-images image-style-inline-images\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.zerohedge.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/httpssubstack-post-media.s3.amaz%20%2824%29_13.jpg?itok=lUkmx1WL\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Trump signed the \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.elysee.fr\/en\/G7evian\/2026\/06\/17\/g7-leaders-statement-on-geopolitical-issues\">G7 leaders\u2019 statement on geopolitical issues<\/a>\u201d <strong>agreeing \u201cto increase the delivery of air defence capacities, additional systems and interceptors, and long-range capabilities<\/strong>. We are also ready to consider extending to Ukraine the benefit of licenses to allow for an increase in Ukraine\u2019s military production\u2026we will strengthen our sanctions, including those on the oil and gas sectors.\u201d This amounts to him preparing to \u201cescalate to de-escalate\u201d with Russia, the reason for which will now be explained.<\/p>\n<p>From Trump\u2019s perspective, which is an explanation but not an excuse in case anyone misinterprets the following, Putin wasted his time these nearly 18 months by talking about peace but rejecting Trump\u2019s proposal to freeze the conflict in exchange for a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/how-could-a-rapprochement-with-russia\">resource-centric<\/a>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/the-russian-us-new-detente-could\">strategic partnership<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Likewise, from Putin\u2019s perspective, Trump reneged on the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/news\/640421-slow-american-retreat-from-europe\/#:~:text=Nevertheless%2C%20the%20attempts,from%20the%20agenda.\">reported \u201cSpirit of Anchorage\u201d<\/a>\u00a0by declining to coerce Zelensky into withdrawing from Donbass in exchange for Putin then declaring a full ceasefire.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Putin accordingly carried on with his\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/korybko-to-azerbaijani-media-all\">special<\/a>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/20-constructive-critiques-about-russias\">operation<\/a>, albeit while still eschewing any escalation thereof\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/en.kremlin.ru\/events\/president\/news\/66181\">due to his belief<\/a>\u00a0(no matter how outdated some of his supporters think that it\u2019s since become) that Russians and Ukrainians are brothers, which Trump considered to be an insult.<\/p>\n<p>It thus wasn\u2019t the Europeans or Ukrainians who convinced him to renege on the reported \u201cSpirit of Anchorage\u201d, but his ego after he felt offended that Putin rejected his abovementioned proposal to his face in Anchorage.<\/p>\n<p><strong>In retrospect, Trump already had his eyes on\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/five-takeaways-from-the-us-special-military-operation-in-venezuela\">Venezuela<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/the-us-military-campaign-against-iran-is-part-of-trumps-grand-strategy-against-china\">Iran<\/a>\u00a0once again too, which is why he held off on \u201cescalating to de-escalate\u201d till both of those were wrapped up. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, he implemented his\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/trumps-neo-reagan-doctrine-is-rolling-back-russian-influence-across-the-world\">Neo-Reagan Doctrine<\/a>\u00a0of rolling back Russian influence worldwide with a focus on Russia\u2019s entire southern periphery in the South Caucasus and Central Asia, which completed\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/trumps-endorsement-of-pashinyan-advances\">Russia\u2019s strategic encirclement<\/a>. A \u201ccordon sanitaire\u201d has now been established around the entire country.<\/p>\n<p>This US-organized geostrategic construct was built in the Arctic-Baltic\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/the-arctic-and-baltic-fronts-of-the\">through UK-led efforts<\/a>, Central Europe\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/september-2025-was-the-most-eventful-month-for-poland-since-the-end-of-communism\">through Polish-led efforts<\/a>, along its entire southern periphery\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/the-russian-triad-is-now-on-the-same\">through Turkish-led efforts<\/a>, and Northeast Asia\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/south-korea-will-remain-a-key-part\">through Japanese-led efforts<\/a>. Trump was therefore almost certainly advised by the deep state that now is the perfect moment to intensify pressure on Russia so as to coerce it into unilateral concessions for ending the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/thealtworld.com\/andrew_korybko\/russia-faces-five-geostrategic-challenges-as-the-special-operation-enters-its-fifth-year\">Ukrainian Conflict<\/a>\u00a0and consequently alleviating some of this pressure.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Whether or not Putin will comply remains a matter of debate, but the aforesaid uncertainty doesn\u2019t mean that Trump wasn\u2019t convinced that now is the perfect time to \u201cescalate to de-escalate\u201d upon sensing what he truly believes to be weakness.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The risk is that Putin finally abandons his belief in the brotherhood of Russians and Ukrainians to reciprocally escalate, possibly even going as far as\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/how-likely-is-it-that-russias-next\">limited conventional strikes against NATO members<\/a>\u00a0to call what he might believe is the big bluff about Article 5.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Unless Russia either capitulates to the US\u2019 demands or there\u2019s a diplomatic breakthrough whereby a balance of interests is reached through a series of mutual compromises, the first of which is improbable while the latter is possible even if unlikely, then a major escalation in NATO-Russian tensions is expected. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Trump\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/korybko.substack.com\/p\/who-won-the-third-gulf-war\">ultimately settled for less than he demanded<\/a>\u00a0from Iran despite earlier threatening to destroy its civilization if it didn\u2019t unconditionally surrender so he might once again \u201cchicken out\u201d and cut a deal.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>      <span class=\"field field--name-uid field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden\"><a title=\"View user profile.\" href=\"https:\/\/cms.zerohedge.com\/user\/5\" lang=\"\" class=\"username\" xml:lang=\"\">Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span><br \/>\n<span class=\"field field--name-created field--type-created field--label-hidden\">Thu, 06\/18\/2026 &#8211; 23:25<\/span><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.zerohedge.com\/s3fs-public\/styles\/inline_image_mobile\/public\/inline-images\/httpssubstack-post-media.s3.amaz%20%2824%29_13.jpg?itok=lUkmx1WL\" title=\"Is Trump Preparing To \" \/><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Is Trump Preparing To &#8220;Escalate To De-Escalate&#8221; With Russia? Authored by Andrew Korybko, He feels personally insulted by Putin rejecting his proposal to freeze the conflict in exchange for a resource-centric strategic partnership and also, whether one agrees with him or not, senses weakness after the US built a \u201ccordon sanitaire\u201d around Russia over the&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/?p=621359\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Is Trump Preparing To &#8220;Escalate To De-Escalate&#8221; With Russia?<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":621345,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","footnotes":""},"categories":[20,23],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-621359","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economic-empowerment","category-national-security","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/621359","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=621359"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/621359\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/621345"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=621359"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=621359"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=621359"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}