{"id":590075,"date":"2026-04-22T03:25:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T03:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/?p=590075"},"modified":"2026-04-22T03:25:00","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T03:25:00","slug":"nobel-physicist-predicts-end-date-for-modern-civilization-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/?p=590075","title":{"rendered":"Nobel Physicist Predicts ‘End-Date’ For Modern Civilization"},"content":{"rendered":"

Nobel Physicist Predicts ‘End-Date’ For Modern Civilization<\/span><\/p>\n

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Authored by Steve Watson via Modernity.news,<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

Nobel Prize-winning physicist David Gross has provided a sobering timeline for the potential end of modern civilisation, citing the escalating risks of nuclear war.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The 2004 Nobel laureate estimates that humanity may have roughly 35 years remaining before facing existential catastrophe from nuclear conflict.<\/strong><\/p>\n

In an interview, Gross detailed his assessment based on probability calculations similar to radioactive half-life\u00a0models. He noted that after the Cold War, estimates put the annual chance of nuclear war at one percent. However, he believes the figure is now closer to two percent.<\/p>\n

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Chilling warning from Nobel physicist as date is set for humanity’s final destruction https:\/\/t.co\/WKhFHWcIs3<\/a><\/p>\n

\u2014 Daily Mail US (@Daily_MailUS) April 20, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

\u201cEven after the Cold War ended, when we had strategic arms control treaties, all of which have disappeared, there were estimates that there was a one percent chance of nuclear war every year,\u201d Gross said.<\/p>\n

He continued, \u201cI feel it\u2019s not a rigorous estimate that the chances are more likely two percent. So that\u2019s a one-in-50 chance every year. The expected lifetime, in the case of two percent per year, is about 35 years.\u201d<\/p>\n

Gross pointed to deteriorating global conditions as justification for his higher estimate. \u201cThings have gotten so much worse in the last 30 years, as you can see every time you read the newspaper,\u201d he stated.<\/p>\n

He highlighted ongoing conflicts and nuclear proliferation. There are now nine nuclear powers, complicating arms control significantly. \u201cEven three is infinitely more complicated than two,\u201d Gross observed.<\/p>\n

Recent developments include the expiration of the New START treaty on February 5, 2026, with no\u00a0major\u00a0nuclear arms-control agreements signed in the past decade.<\/p>\n

Gross also raised concerns about advancing technology, particularly\u00a0automation\u00a0and artificial intelligence in weapons\u00a0systems.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe agreements, the norms between countries, are all falling apart,\u201d<\/strong><\/em> he said. \u201cWeapons are getting crazier.\u00a0Automation, and perhaps even AI, will be in control of those instruments pretty soon.\u201d<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

\u201cIt\u2019s going to be very hard to resist making AI make decisions because it acts so fast,\u201d Gross warned, noting that AI can sometimes \u201challucinate\u201d or produce inaccurate outputs.<\/p>\n

He expressed deep concern for humanity\u2019s future beyond scientific progress: \u201cYou asked me to think about the future, and I am obsessed the last few years, thinking about that, not the future of ideas and understanding nature, but of the survival of humanity.\u201d<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Despite the grim outlook, Gross expressed some optimism, stating of nuclear weapons: \u201cWe made them; we can stop them.\u201d<\/p>\n

The post quickly drew responses on X reflecting a range of views.<\/strong><\/p>\n

One took a philosophical stance: \u201cThere no end date.. people have been guessing.. for a long time.. when it our time it\u2019s our time\u2026 an Asteroid can hit Tomorrow and wipe out the planet and we probably wouldn\u2019t be able to process it\u2026 a renegade Volcano can explode setting off the next extinction event and we wouldn\u2019t know what to do.. live your life.. it\u2019s all you can do..\u201d<\/p>\n

Several users ironcially turned to AI for answers, with one writing: \u201cTell us the date and time @grok.\u201d and another echoing: \u201c@grok what\u2019s the date and time?\u201d<\/p>\n

A different commenter expressed skepticism about the role of global elites: \u201cIf his thinks rich billionaires are going to allow nuclear war.. then take away his Nobel prize cause that not happening any time soon.\u201d<\/p>\n

Gross, who won the Nobel Prize for his work on asymptotic freedom in quantum chromodynamics, has shifted much of his recent focus to humanity\u2019s long-term survival. His remarks connect the probability model directly to current events, including tensions in Europe, the Middle East, and South Asia.<\/p>\n

By framing the risk in concrete yearly percentages and an expected timeframe, the physicist aims to translate abstract geopolitical dangers into something more immediate and calculable.<\/strong> Whether the two-percent annual figure holds or shifts with future developments remains to be seen, but the underlying message is clear: the\u00a0window\u00a0for preventive action is narrowing.<\/p>\n

Your support is crucial in helping us defeat mass censorship. Please consider donating via\u00a0Locals<\/a>\u00a0or\u00a0check\u00a0out our unique\u00a0merch<\/a>. Follow us on X\u00a0@ModernityNews<\/a><\/em>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Tyler Durden<\/a><\/span>
\nTue, 04\/21\/2026 – 23:25<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nobel Physicist Predicts ‘End-Date’ For Modern Civilization Authored by Steve Watson via Modernity.news, Nobel Prize-winning physicist David Gross has provided a sobering timeline for the potential end of modern civilisation, citing the escalating risks of nuclear war. The 2004 Nobel laureate estimates that humanity may have roughly 35 years remaining before facing existential catastrophe from… Continue reading Nobel Physicist Predicts ‘End-Date’ For Modern Civilization<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":590059,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","footnotes":""},"categories":[20,23],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-590075","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economic-empowerment","category-national-security","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/590075","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=590075"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/590075\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/590059"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=590075"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=590075"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/buglecall.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=590075"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}